Volume 11: Sustainable Energy Solutions for Changing the World: Part III

Low carbon transition in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region Under Carbon Neutrality Scenario Qiang Zhang，Wenying Chen

Abstract

The new carbon emission reduction target proposed by the Chinese government is an important process for the international community to deal with climate change. Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is the representative region of the advanced region of China and it is important to analyze the low carbon transition in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. This paper used a provincial China TIMES model to analyze the carbon emission, energy use and electricity transmission under low carbon scenarios. This paper established 3 scenarios which include reference scenario (REF), NDC (Nationally Determined Contribution) scenario which achieves China’s carbon emission peaking target in 2030 and a carbon neutrality scenario which achieves China’s carbon neutrality target in 2060. The results show that the carbon emission in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region will peak at 2035 and 2030 in the NDC_PEAK30 and CN60 scenario. In the low carbon scenarios, the proportion of electricity in the final energy consumption will continuously increase to achieve the low carbon transition target. The power sector will have negative emission in the carbon neutrality scenario and the Biomass Electricity plant with Carbon Capture and Storage (BECCS) will play an important role in carbon neutrality. The carbon neutrality is a big challenge to China especially in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. It needs more effort in transport and building sector.

Keywords carbon neutrality; energy， China， Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region， TIMES model